
Top Oil Producers in 2025: The Biggest Crude Suppliers by Country
Global oil supply in 2025 is shaped by a tug-of-war between OPEC+ restraint and vigorous non-OPEC growth. Based on reputable outlooks (EIA, IEA, OPEC) as compiled by Trading Economics, output continues to edge higher versus 2024. Below is a clear, country-by-country look at the leaders and what is driving their barrels this year. Figures refer to crude oil production only (excluding condensates, NGLs and other liquids).
In 2025, worldwide crude production is hovering around the mid-104 to 105 million b/d range, up roughly 1.6–1.9 million b/d year over year. The bulk of new supply is coming from non-OPEC+—especially the United States, Brazil, Canada and Guyana—while OPEC+ extends voluntary cuts that curb growth from key members. Macro headwinds include softer price expectations (Brent trading in a roughly $58–$70/bbl band in several forecasts), uneven demand growth, and ongoing geopolitics from sanctions to regional conflicts. Project ramp-ups in deepwater (Brazil), shale (U.S.), and oil sands (Canada) underpin the expansion. Meanwhile, several producers face infrastructure, investment, or above-ground risks that will continue to shape their 2025 trajectories.
Top 10 countries by 2025 production
1. 🇺🇸 United States — 13,642 kb/d
The United States remains the world’s largest oil producer in 2025 with an average of about 13.6 million b/d (13,642 kb/d). Growth is led by the Permian Basin, where productivity and infrastructure expansions keep setting new benchmarks. Pipeline debottlenecking and disciplined efficiency gains support high sustained output despite price volatility. U.S. shale remains the swing engine of non-OPEC+ supply growth this year. Service costs and decline rates are watched closely, but momentum remains firmly positive.
2. 🇷🇺 Russia — 9,818 kb/d
Russia maintains substantial output near 9.8 million b/d (9,818 kb/d) despite sanctions and the OPEC+ framework. Redirected crude flows and discounted barrels have sustained production levels into alternative markets. The policy path within OPEC+ and the durability of export logistics remain key variables for 2025. Investment and technology access are ongoing constraints, yet operational resilience has been notable. Market watchers track compliance and export routing for signals on the year’s balance.
3. 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia — 9,722 kb/d
Saudi Arabia averages roughly 9.7 million b/d (9,722 kb/d) as extended OPEC+ cuts temper its near-term volumes. With spare capacity around 12 million b/d, the Kingdom retains unmatched ability to adjust supply if policy shifts. 2025 strategy prioritizes market stability over maximizing barrels. Domestic upstream capability and megaproject readiness keep optionality strong. Price signals and OPEC+ cohesion will guide any change in Saudi output cadence.
4. 🇨🇦 Canada — 4,420 kb/d
Canada’s production advances to about 4.42 million b/d (4,420 kb/d), up roughly 0.3 million b/d year over year. Oil sands expansions and incremental optimization are the main drivers. New takeaway capacity improves netbacks and supports higher sustained runs. Environmental policy and ESG standards remain core to project pacing and capital allocation. Overall, 2025 marks another year of steady, infrastructure-enabled growth.
5. 🇨🇳 China — 4,350 kb/d
China’s domestic crude output holds near 4.35 million b/d (4,350 kb/d), reflecting steady redevelopment of mature basins. Enhanced recovery and targeted investment cushion declines. While China remains a major crude importer, stable local production is strategically important. Policy support and national oil company plans aim to sustain plateau levels. 2025 thus looks broadly flat with limited upside risk.
6. 🇮🇶 Iraq — 3,742 kb/d
Iraq averages around 3.74 million b/d (3,742 kb/d) under the OPEC+ umbrella. Field performance at super-giant reservoirs remains robust, though export coordination and policy factors shape realized flows. Infrastructure reliability at southern terminals is a perennial watchpoint. Investment timelines and contractor activity influence incremental growth. For 2025, volumes are largely policy-constrained rather than geology-limited.
7. 🇧🇷 Brazil — 3,679 kb/d
Brazil climbs to roughly 3.68 million b/d (3,679 kb/d) as pre-salt projects add barrels. Deepwater ramp-ups deliver some of the strongest non-OPEC+ gains in 2025. High productivity wells and reliable FPSO deployments underpin continued momentum. Logistics and maintenance schedules are the main swing factors for monthly prints. Overall, Brazil is a cornerstone of global supply growth this year.
8. 🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates — 3,240 kb/d
The UAE posts about 3.24 million b/d (3,240 kb/d) while remaining aligned with OPEC+ objectives. ADNOC’s capacity expansion program preserves medium-term upside once policy settings allow. 2025 strategy balances market stewardship with investment in spare capacity. Efficiency and low upstream carbon intensity strengthen its competitive position. Any relaxation of cuts could surface meaningful incremental barrels.
9. 🇮🇷 Iran — 3,218 kb/d
Iran’s output is estimated near 3.22 million b/d (3,218 kb/d), higher than in prior years despite sanctions. Alternative trade channels and domestic offtake support sustained production. Policy dynamics and enforcement intensity remain the key uncertainties. Reservoir management and maintenance have stabilized declines at legacy fields. In 2025, Iran is a notable swing factor for balances and differentials.
10. 🇰🇼 Kuwait — 2,489 kb/d
Kuwait averages roughly 2.49 million b/d (2,489 kb/d) within the OPEC+ framework. Mature field management and steady brownfield work sustain core volumes. Neutral Zone developments offer medium-term potential depending on project cadence. Investment discipline and reliability remain hallmarks of its upstream. For 2025, policy rather than geology is the chief limiter.
Top 50 table
The full ranking includes producers with output above roughly 12 thousand bbl/d, using 2025 monthly forecasts (e.g., mid-year) and trend adjustments. Figures are expressed in thousands of barrels per day (kb/d) and sorted from highest to lowest. Figures refer to crude oil production only (excluding condensates, NGLs and other liquids).
| # | Country | Production (kb/d) | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🇺🇸 United States | 13,642 | Record highs driven by shale, especially the Permian Basin, keep the U.S. as the top producer globally. |
| 2 | 🇷🇺 Russia | 9,818 | Despite sanctions, Russia maintains strong supply through alternative markets and resilient upstream performance. |
| 3 | 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia | 9,722 | Saudi Arabia restricts output under OPEC+ policy but retains significant spare capacity for quick market response. |
| 4 | 🇨🇦 Canada | 4,420 | Oil sands growth and expanded pipelines boost Canadian volumes to new highs. |
| 5 | 🇨🇳 China | 4,350 | Stable domestic production from mature basins with enhanced recovery projects holding declines in check. |
| 6 | 🇮🇶 Iraq | 3,742 | Large fields sustain strong production but OPEC+ quotas limit upside. |
| 7 | 🇧🇷 Brazil | 3,679 | Pre-salt offshore expansion continues to power Brazil’s steady growth in 2025. |
| 8 | 🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates | 3,240 | The UAE invests in long-term capacity while observing OPEC+ restrictions. |
| 9 | 🇮🇷 Iran | 3,218 | Output grows despite sanctions, with alternative export channels keeping barrels flowing. |
| 10 | 🇰🇼 Kuwait | 2,489 | Kuwait’s mature reservoirs sustain production, policy constraints determine growth pace. |
| 11 | 🇰🇿 Kazakhstan | 2,021 | Caspian projects anchor stable supply, making Kazakhstan a reliable non-OPEC+ player. |
| 12 | 🇳🇴 Norway | 1,795 | New North Sea projects offset natural declines, supporting steady production. |
| 13 | 🇲🇽 Mexico | 1,726 | Production steadies offshore, though longer-term decline pressures remain. |
| 14 | 🇳🇬 Nigeria | 1,434 | Output remains under OPEC+ quotas with security challenges shaping operations. |
| 15 | 🇱🇾 Libya | 1,380 | Political instability drives volatility, but technical potential allows rapid rebounds. |
| 16 | 🇶🇦 Qatar | 1,322 | Crude supply stable while Qatar prioritizes LNG expansion in its energy mix. |
| 17 | 🇻🇪 Venezuela | 1,098 | Production recovers gradually despite sanctions, with heavy oil projects regaining traction. |
| 18 | 🇴🇲 Oman | 991 | Enhanced recovery helps Oman sustain non-OPEC+ supply levels close to 1 million b/d. |
| 19 | 🇩🇿 Algeria | 947 | OPEC+ member keeps steady output, limited upside without major new projects. |
| 20 | 🇨🇴 Colombia | 750 | Colombia stabilizes supply near 750 kb/d, with investment and security as key variables. |
| 21 | 🇦🇷 Argentina | 748 | Vaca Muerta shale drives Argentina’s growing role in regional oil supply. |
| 22 | 🇬🇧 United Kingdom | 644 | North Sea volumes continue gradual decline but remain significant for Europe. |
| 23 | 🇮🇳 India | 602 | Stable domestic output complements India’s reliance on imports. |
| 24 | 🇮🇩 Indonesia | 583 | Production steadies but struggles against natural declines from mature fields. |
| 25 | 🇦🇿 Azerbaijan | 570 | Caspian output remains stable with ACG field central to supply. |
| 26 | 🇪🇬 Egypt | 507 | Egypt sustains Mediterranean and Western Desert oil output alongside growing gas focus. |
| 27 | 🇲🇾 Malaysia | 485 | Malaysia produces steadily from offshore fields, balancing oil and LNG exports. |
| 28 | 🇪🇨 Ecuador | 467 | Ecuador’s OPEC+ membership constrains volumes despite technical capacity. |
| 29 | 🇨🇬 Republic of Congo | 271 | Congo’s offshore fields provide steady but modest output within OPEC+ quota limits. |
| 30 | 🇦🇺 Australia | 261 | Offshore projects sustain Australia’s modest crude contribution to global supply. |
| 31 | 🇬🇦 Gabon | 226 | Gabon’s OPEC+ compliance keeps production restrained below 250 kb/d. |
| 32 | 🇹🇲 Turkmenistan | 191 | Stable but limited output, overshadowed by the country’s gas sector. |
| 33 | 🇬🇭 Ghana | 184 | Ghana’s offshore Jubilee and TEN fields keep supply close to 200 kb/d. |
| 34 | 🇧🇭 Bahrain | 173 | Steady crude production, complemented by downstream integration in the Gulf. |
| 35 | 🇻🇳 Vietnam | 165 | Vietnam maintains stable offshore output while balancing growing energy demand. |
| 36 | 🇹🇭 Thailand | 153 | Thailand produces modestly offshore, with fields gradually declining. |
| 37 | 🇹🇷 Turkey | 130 | Domestic supply remains small but strategically important for energy security. |
| 38 | 🇹🇩 Chad | 127 | Landlocked Chad exports modest crude volumes with infrastructure challenges. |
| 39 | 🇳🇪 Niger | 103 | Niger adds limited volumes, constrained by security and investment risks. |
| 40 | 🇸🇾 Syria | 85 | Conflict continues to suppress Syria’s output well below pre-war levels. |
| 41 | 🇨🇮 Côte d’Ivoire | 83 | Offshore projects support small but steady production growth. |
| 42 | 🇧🇳 Brunei | 80 | Stable offshore production, though overshadowed by LNG exports. |
| 43 | 🇩🇰 Denmark | 79 | North Sea output continues gradual decline but remains material for Europe. |
| 44 | 🇮🇹 Italy | 79 | Onshore and offshore fields provide modest, stable supply within Europe. |
| 45 | 🇵🇰 Pakistan | 61 | Small but steady domestic production supports partial import substitution. |
| 46 | 🇨🇲 Cameroon | 60 | Cameroon’s offshore fields sustain low but consistent production levels. |
| 47 | 🇷🇴 Romania | 52 | Romania’s mature onshore fields keep modest crude output in Europe. |
| 48 | 🇬🇶 Equatorial Guinea | 51 | Equatorial Guinea maintains small offshore production as part of OPEC+. |
| 49 | 🇹🇹 Trinidad and Tobago | 51 | Production is modest, overshadowed by gas exports and petrochemical industry. |
| 50 | 🇵🇪 Peru | 44 | Peru sustains low levels of crude output, focused in the Amazon basin region. |
The table aggregates official/outlook data (EIA, IEA, OPEC) as compiled by Trading Economics and harmonized to a 2025 average. Minor discrepancies may exist across sources and months, especially for sanctioned or geopolitically sensitive producers. Use the notes column to flag policy constraints, growth drivers, and data caveats.
In 2025 the supply story is dominated by non-OPEC+ growth offsetting managed OPEC+ restraint. Shale productivity, deepwater pre-salt, and oil sands projects continue to anchor incremental barrels. Prices and policy will steer short-term adjustments, but the project pipeline points to steady upstream capability. Geopolitical risks and infrastructure bottlenecks remain the key swing variables shaping month-to-month outcomes.